Wednesday, October 31, 2012

2012 MLS Cup Playoffs: Knockout Round

Tonight, the 2012 MLS Cup Playoffs begin, with the knockout round.

Second year of this play-in game, with the winners of each moving on to a home-and-home with the top seeds from each conference.

Eastern Conference
Tonight: (5) Houston Dynamo @ (4) Chicago Fire 8 PM CT ESPN2
My hometown Dynamo have had an up and down season, but put enough results together to secure their 6th playoff berth in 7 years in Houston. Meanwhile, the Fire have also struggled a bit down the stretch, but have the superior fire power in Patrick Nyarko, Chris Rolfe, and Sherjil McDonald. 
Pick: My Dynamo have really struggled at times, but I think they can put it together for one game, and convert on a set piece to pull out a win.
Western Conference
Thursday: (5) Vancouver Whitecaps @ (4) Los Angeles Galaxy 9:30 PM CT NBCSN
The Whitecaps only made it in because the West was extremely weak this year. The defending champion LA Galaxy are nowhere near as good as they were last year, but they're in, and they still have David Beckham, Robbie Keane, and Landon Donovan
Pick: Galaxy win easily, look ahead to California Clásico showdown with Supporters' Shield Winning Earthquakes in the next round.


Tuesday, October 30, 2012

2012-13 NBA Preview

After an interesting off-season, the NBA returns tonight! Here are my projections for the upcoming season.


Western Conference
1. Los Angeles Lakers- After last year's debacle, Lakers go out and get PG Steve Nash and C Dwight Howard to infuse even more star power in LA. Unbelievable how good Lakers fans have it.


2. Oklahoma City Thunder- After the Finals defeat, I expected another run at the championship this year. Instead, GM Sam Presti chose to look to the future, trading James Harden to the Rockets. While the trade might help them in the long run (they got three draft picks in return), there is no question OKC is weaker without the services of Harden. Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook still make this team good, but not good championship-great.

3. San Antonio Spurs- Duncan, Ginobili, and Parker were halfway toward another NBA Finals appearance when the young Thunder simply outplayed them in the final four games of the series. Expect another great year in the Alamo City, with a full season from Stephen Jackson and growth from Kawhi Lenoard and Danny Green spurring another run.

4. Los Angeles Clippers- LA's other team finally looks relevant again, and after adding veterans Lamar Odom (who should be happy back in LA) and Grant Hill to a young core, Vinny Del Negro's team has a chance of making some noise in the West.

5. Denver Nuggets- George Karl's team was simply amazing last year again, doing it without a superstar and still taking the Lakers to seven games. They added SG Andre Iguodala in the offseason, and he along with second-year forward Kenneth Faried and rejuvenated C Javale McGee should boost Denver's awful defense, at least somewhat.

6. Dallas Mavericks- The Mavericks offseason started out horribly, as they lost out on Deron Williams, Dwight Howard, and Jason Kidd. In the end, though, they still emerged as a playoff team, by adding young guards Darren Collison and O.J. Mayo, as well as veteran big men Chris Kaman and Elton Brand.


7. Memphis Grizzlies- Hopefully, Zach Randolph and Rudy Gay can finally stay injury-free for an entire year, and Memphis can reach its full potential, by riding one of the best front-courts in the league, with C Marc Gasol. The back court is still mediocre, though, and new additions Jerryd Bayless and Wayne Ellington (who replace the departed OJ Mayo) need to make plays and hit outside shots to help space the floor for their front court to go to work.


8. Utah Jazz- Front court of Al Jefferson and Paul Millsap is really strong. Backcourt of Mo Williams, Gordon Hayward, and Randy Foye? Not so much. But, overall, they'll be good enough to put Utah in contention for 8th playoff spot again.


9. Minnesota Timberwolves- Here we go again with the injuries, as Kevin Love is out at least a month after a knee injury in preseason. When they're finally healthy, Ricky Rubio and Kevin Love lead a young team with much promise and talent. Speaking of injuries, it'll be interesting how SG Brandon Roy holds up after a year hiatus from the NBA.


10. Houston Rockets- Acquisition of James Harden gives team all-star caliber player they have lacked for several years. Him and Lin in backcourt, along with promising forward Chandler Parsons and center Omer Asik represent a young revival for a team which dumped its top six scorers from a year ago.

11. Golden State Warriors- Rough first year for Mark Jackson in Oakland, but first round pick Harrison Barnes and a stability at the center position in Andrew Bogut (if healthy) should mean an improvement.

12. Phoenix Suns- The Steve Nash era is over, and back in is Goran Dragic, who will be expected to be the type of dynamic playmaker to set up their offense to their solid front court of Marcin Gortat, Luis Scola, and Michael Beasley. Outside shooting is lacking, however, and may be the team's downfall.

13. New Orleans Hornets- The Anthony Davis era has begun, and along with Austin Rivers, and Eric Gordon, he'll try to bring relevance back to a franchise which is finally no longer owned by the NBA.

14. Portland Trailblazers- A young team in full rebuilding, as they hope first-round pick Damian Lillard lives up to the hype and forms a good, young core with LaMarcus Aldridge.

15. Sacramento Kings- An team with a lot of nice pieces: Isaiah Thomas was a pleasant surprise last year, and center DeMarcus Cousins can be dominant at times inside. However, as a unit, they are pathetic defensively, and Tyreke Evans really needs to bounceback. Hopefully, first round pick Thomas Robinson shores up the power forward position that has been a revolving door since the days of Chris Webber. 

Eastern Conference


1.Miami Heat- The defending champions were favorites to repeat, anyway. Then, they signed the NBA all-time leader in three pointers in SG Ray Allen. Can't see any other team in East coming close to challenging the Heat.


2. Indiana Pacers- Resigning Roy Hibbert was priority #1, as they keep their front court of him, Danny Granger and David West intact. Development of backcourt of George Hill and Paul George determines how close to reach to taking down the Heat.


3. Boston Celtics- The Big Three is down to two, but I think Boston should still be near the top of the East, as they added Courtney Lee and Jason Terry, who will carry more of the offensive load away from Paul Pierce. Depth inside and rebounding is an issue, though, with not much behind the aging Kevin Garnett.

4. New York Knicks- Jeremy Lin is out and Raymond Felton is in, who will be a quality replacement. Bigger issue is whether PF Amar'e Stoudemire can rebound from a subpar year and become elite again.

5. Brooklyn Nets- They failed to get Dwight Howard, but in resigning Deron Williams and adding Joe Johnson, the Nets have a chance to make some noise in their town.

6. Philadelphia 76ers- Made a bold move, trading for C Andrew Bynum, who will be expected to carry the load on his own for the first time. We'll see if he's mature (and healthy) enough to do it, as this team is great defensively, but severely offensively challenged at times (and lost its leading scorer Lou Williams).

7. Atlanta Hawks- They finally dumped Joe Johnson's ridiculous contract (who knew that contract was going to backfire), and will rely on Josh Smith and Al Horford to carry the load inside. 

8. Chicago Bulls- No Derrick Rose = no playoffs? I think Hamilton, Boozer, Deng, and Noah and Tom Thibodeau's defensive philosophy are enough to make it in the ultra-weak East, but no farther.

9. Milwaukee Bucks- Want to put this team in, with Brandon Jennings and Monta Ellis in the backcourt, but their front court just isn't enough

10. Toronto Raptors- Should be one of the most improved teams in the league. They whiffed on Steve Nash, but in adding all-star caliber PG Kyle Lowry, first round pick SG Terrence Ross, and Jonas Valanciunas, they finally have a foundation to build on.

11. Washington Wizards- John Wall's team was awful last year, but frankly, so was he, at times. The veteran front-court of Nene and Emeka Okafor is a decent combo, and first-round pick Bradley Beal should help as well. No more excuses, Mr. Wall.

12. Cleveland Cavaliers- Kyrie showed flashes of being great last year and he'll have to be again this year to carry the load Cleveland has put on in. Hopefully, for Cavs fans, first round pick Dion Waiters helps out, and Tristan Thompson improves a lot from year one to two.

13. Detroit Pistons- Greg Monroe's development into a top-tier big man and the consistency of Brandon Knight and Rodney Stuckey in the backcourt determine how much this team improves.


14. Orlando Magic- How bad will this team be without Dwight Howard? Pretty bad, but at least that bad soap opera is finally over.


15. Charlotte Bobcats- Worst team in NBA history needed a franchise player (Anthony Davis) to build around. Instead, they get Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, who will have to develop a lot as an offensive player to become a cornerstone.

Sunday, October 28, 2012

NFL Picks: Week Eight

10/28
Chargers
vs
Browns
-12:00 PM (CT)
10/28
Panthers
vs
Bears
-12:00 PM (CT)
10/28
Seahawks
vs
Lions
-12:00 PM (CT)
10/28
Jaguars
vs
Packers
-12:00 PM (CT)
10/28
Colts
vs
Titans
-12:00 PM (CT)
10/28
Dolphins
vs
Jets
-12:00 PM (CT)
10/28
Patriots
vs
Rams
-12:00 PM (CT)
10/28
Redskins
vs
Steelers
-12:00 PM (CT)
10/28
Falcons
vs
Eagles
-12:00 PM (CT)
10/28
Raiders
vs
Chiefs
-3:05 PM (CT)
10/28
Giants
vs
Cowboys
-3:25 PM (CT)
10/28
Saints
vs
Broncos
-7:20 PM (CT)
10/29
49ers
vs
Cardinals
-7:30 PM (CT)‎


Last week: 10-3
Season record: 57-47

Wednesday, October 24, 2012

2012 World Series Prediction

And the 2012 World Series Champion will be...


Here's why:
Certainly two quite different league championship series, with the Tigers sweeping the Yankees, while the Giants had to fight off three elimination games before beating the Cardinals.
So, let's break it down.
Lineups
The Tigers' lineup is well-balanced up and down. In addition to big sluggers Prince Fielder and Triple Crown Winner Miguel Cabrera, ALCS MVP Delmon Young, Jhonny Peralta, as well as leadoff hitter Austin Jackson have all been on fire this postseason. Meanwhile, the Giants have gone on their magical run (6-0 in elimination games) riding 3B Pablo Sandoval, as well as unsung heroes such as NLCS MVP Marco Scutaro, who had a LCS-record 14 hits in leading the Giants in their comeback against the Cardinals, and LF Gregor Blanco. In order for the Giants to win their second title in three years against a good Tigers pitching staff, they will need more help from the heart of the order (Buster Posey, Hunter Pence)
Edge: Tigers

Pitching:
As far as pitching goes, let's start with the Tigers, who have the probable AL Cy Young Winner for the second straight year in Justin Verlander. After struggling during last year's postseason, Verlander has been simply unhittable, and is 3-0 with a 0.74 ERA thus far this postseason. Behind him, the Tigers have gotten great pitching from Doug Fister, Max Scherzer, and Anibal Sanchez, who have been just as dominant as Verlander this postseason in silencing the A's and Yankees' lineups. The closer situation has been an issue for Detroit, as Jose Valverde has been replaced by lefty Phil Coke, who was effective in shutting closing out games against the Yankees. 
Meanwhile, the Giants' pitching has been up and down this postseason. Ryan Vogelsong, believe it or not, has been their most consistent starting pitcher (2-0 with a 1.42 ERA), as Madison Bumgarner and Matt Cain have struggled to match their regular season dominance thus far this postseason. Barry Zito, who starts Game 1 tonight, rounds out the San Francisco rotation, with former NL Cy Young winner Tim Lincecum available throughout the series as a long reliever. If any of the starters struggle, Lincecum could become a real x-factor in providing long relief. As far as relievers, Sergio Romo has been dominant as closer, while the rest of the bullpen (Javier Lopez, George Kontos, Jeremy Affeldt) has been solid as well.
Edge: Tigers

It always comes down to pitching, so the biggest key in the series is whether sometimes anemic Giants lineup can find ways to generate offense against the great starting pitching of the Tigers. In the end, I don't think they will be able to. As long as the Tigers aren't rusty (having not played in a week), they have the better lineup and pitching to claim their fifth World Championship, and first since 1984.
Tigers in 6.

Thursday, October 18, 2012

NFL Picks: Week Seven

10/18
Seahawks
vs
49ers
-7:20 PM (CT)‎
10/21
Titans
vs
Bills
-12:00 PM (CT)
10/21
Ravens
vs
Texans
-12:00 PM (CT)
10/21
Browns
vs
Colts
-12:00 PM (CT)
10/21
Cowboys
vs
Panthers
-12:00 PM (CT)
10/21
Packers
vs
Rams
-12:00 PM (CT)
10/21
Cardinals
vs
Vikings
-12:00 PM (CT)
10/21
Saints
vs
Buccaneers
-12:00 PM (CT)
10/21
Redskins
vs
Giants
-12:00 PM (CT)
10/21
Jaguars
vs
Raiders
-3:25 PM (CT)
10/21
Jets
vs
Patriots
-3:25 PM (CT)
10/21
Steelers
vs
Bengals
-7:20 PM (CT)
10/22
Lions
vs
Bears
-7:30 PM (CT)‎
Last week: 6-8
Season record: 47-44