Sunday, October 30, 2011

NFL Picks: Week 8

10/30
Cardinals
vs
Ravens
-12:00 PM (CT)


10/30
Colts
vs
Titans
-12:00 PM (CT)


10/30
Jaguars
vs
Texans
-12:00 PM (CT)


10/30
Dolphins
vs
Giants
-12:00 PM (CT)


10/30
Vikings
vs
Panthers
-12:00 PM (CT)


10/30
Saints
vs
Rams
-12:00 PM (CT)

Link
10/30
Lions
vs
Broncos
-3:05 PM (CT)


10/30
Redskins
vs
Bills
-3:05 PM (CT)


10/30
Bengals
vs
Seahawks
-3:15 PM (CT)


10/30
Browns
vs
49ers
-3:15 PM (CT)


10/30
Patriots
vs
Steelers
-3:15 PM (CT)


10/30
Cowboys
vs
Eagles
-7:20 PM (CT)


10/31
Chargers
vs
Chiefs
-7:30 PM (CT)

Last week: 8-5
Season record: 70-33

Saturday, October 29, 2011

Cardinals Win World Series

Absolutely stunning. There is no other way to describe what the St. Louis Cardinals did in winning their 11th World Series Championship. After coming all the way back in NL Wild Card Race to catch and pass the Braves, and dispatching of NL favorites Philadelphia and Milwaukee, and having to survive "Phonegate" in Game 5 and the ridiculous comeback in Game 6, there was no way the Cardinals would be denied last night in Game 7 of the World Series.

MVP David Freese followed up his game-tying 2-run triple and walkoff homerun in Game 6 with an early two-run double in the first inning last night to set the tone, Allen Craig followed with his series-leading third home run in the third, and the Cardinal pitching did the rest in shutting down the Rangers 6-2 in the first Game 7 of the Fall Classic since 2002.

St. Louis, which last won the title in 2006, was a team that was an underdog in every postseason series (I picked against them and was wrong three times).

"It's hard to explain how this happened," Cardinals manager Tony La Russa said.

But this team just fought through all adversity and stuck together behind their outstanding bullpen, great manager, and incredible clutch hitting up and down the lineup (Other than his incredible performance in Game 3, Albert Pujols was nonfactor in series). With contributions from Lance Berkman (former Astro who well-deservedly wins his 1st ring), Craig, and MVP Freese, this was truly a remarkable team effort that paid dividends for the Cardinals.


Unfortunately for Texas, being one strike away in Game 6 on two separate occasions and losing its second straight World Series, will haunt this team all winter long. Nelson Cruz will remember not being able to catch David Freese's ball in the 9th inning in Game 6, costing his team the championship. The bullpen will remember imploding in the World Series, after having such an amazing regular season and playoff. The lineup will remember all those base runners left on base in Game 6 and the inability to solve Chris Carpenter and the bullpen. But in the end, it ultimately just wasn't meant to be, as the Cardinals were a team of destiny not to be denied.

2011 MLS Cup Playoffs: Conference Semifinals

As I correctly predicted, New York and Colorado successfully advanced in the wildcard round to set up these conference semifinal matchups (which are two game aggregate goal series, whoever has higher goal-differential after two legs wins series)

Western Conference
(4) New York Red Bulls vs. (1) Los Angeles Galaxy
Leg 1 @ NY: Sunday 2 PM CT ESPN2
Leg 2 @ LA: Thursday 10 PM CT ESPN2

Good for New York to take out Dallas, which had been struggling for about 3 months and finally ran out of us. But I just don't see them taking out the Supporter Shield Winning Galaxy.

(3) Real Salt Lake vs. (2) Seattle Sounders
Leg 1 @ RSL: Tonight 9 PM CT Fox Soccer
Leg 2 @ SEA: Wednesday 9 PM CT ESPN2

What a match-up this should be. In the end, I like Seattle with the home-field advantage and the better form (RSL struggled down the stretch, only got #3 seed because Dallas struggled worse)

Eastern Conference
(4) Colorado Rapids vs. (1) Sporting Kansas City
Leg 1 @ COL: Sunday 6:30 PM CT Fox Soccer
Leg 2 @ KC: Wednesday 7 PM CT Fox Soccer 

Another great match-up with the defending champions taking on upstart, streaking Sporting Kansas City. Loads of great strikers in this series, with Omar Cummings on Colorado and Kei Kamara and Omar Bravo for KC. Both goalkeepers are also very good, in veterans Matt Pickens and Jimmy Nielsen. KC is on the run of better form at the moment, but I think the playoff experience of Colorado will help them score the upset.

(3) Philadelphia Union vs. (2) Houston Dynamo
Leg 1 @ PHI: Sunday 4 PM CT ESPN2
Leg 2 @ HOU: Thursday 7:30 PM CT ESPN2

I actually attended the Union/Dynamo game to start the season this year, in which Philly won 1-0 due to an early goal off a throw-in and successful deep defending for the rest of the match. Between two of the most physical teams in the league, this series calls for a lot of fouls and potential cards. In the end, I have to go with the playoff experience of my hometown Dynamo and the advantage Houston has in set pieces due to MLS assist leader Brad Davis.

Wednesday, October 26, 2011

2011 MLS Cup Playoffs: Wildcard Round

Tonight, the 2011 MLS Cup Playoffs begin, with the wildcard round.

New this season to the postseason format of MLS, the top four teams in the league to not finish in the top three in their conference participate in a one-game playoff to advance to the conference semifinal round. Here are this year's wildcard matchups:

Tonight: (10) New York Red Bulls @ (7) FC Dallas 8 PM CT Fox Soccer
After a hot start to the season, Dallas has cooled off lately, getting knocked out of the CONCACAF Champions League and stumbling out of the top three in the West to having to play in the wildcard round. New York, meanwhile, everyone's preseason MLS Cup favorite, has struggled mightily and barely snuck into the playoffs with a late surge.
Pick: Dallas' offensive struggles end their season prematurely, and New York advances 1-0 on a Thierry Henry goal.
Thursday: (9) Columbus Crew @ (8) Colorado Rapids 10 PM CT MLSSoccer.com
Columbus was one of the real surprises this season, as the Crew were not supposed to be competitive in what was built as a rebuilding year. But head coach Robert Warzycha has done a good job in making the Crew a playoff team, through U.S. International midfielder Robbie Rogers and a solid, yet inconsistent defense. Meanwhile, the defending champions from last year have been one of the most inconsistent teams in the league all season. Although the Rapids have lost all-star forward Conor Casey for the season, it still has firepower with Omar Cummings, Brian Mullan, and Jeff Larentowicz.
Pick: Rapids are at home, where they have been very good over the years, they win 2-1 and keep their title repeat chances alive. 


Sunday, October 23, 2011

NFL Picks: Week 7

10/23
Falcons
vs
Lions
-1:00 PM (ET)


10/23
Bears
vs
Buccaneers
-1:00 PM (ET)


10/23
Broncos
vs
Dolphins
- 1:00 PM (ET)


10/23
Texans
vs
Titans
-1:00 PM (ET)


10/23
Chargers
vs
Jets
-1:00 PM (ET)


10/23
Seahawks
vs
Browns
-1:00 PM (ET)


10/23
Redskins
vs
Panthers
- 1:00 PM (ET)


10/23
Chiefs
vs
Raiders
- 4:05 PM (ET)


10/23
Steelers
vs
Cardinals
- 4:05 PM (ET)


10/23
Packers
vs
Vikings
- 4:15 PM (ET)


10/23
Rams
vs
Cowboys
- 4:15 PM (ET)


10/23
Colts
vs
Saints
- 8:20 PM (ET)


10/24
Ravens
vs
Jaguars
- 8:30 PM (ET)

Last week: 10-3
Season record: 62-28

Wednesday, October 19, 2011

2011 World Series Prediction

And the 2011 World Series Champion will be...

Here's why:
Who would have thought at the beginning of the year that it would be down to Texas and St. Louis in the World Series. The Rangers, last year's runner-up, have had a great season and rode its explosive lineup (holy cow, Nelson Cruz was unstoppable in ALCS) and good bullpen to return to the Fall Classic. The Cardinals, meanwhile, have overcome all odds in first catching Atlanta in the NL Wildcard race, and then topping NL favorites Philly and Milwaukee, using outstanding pitching and clutch hitting to win its 18th NL Pennant.
So, let's break it down. Both lineups definitely have the potential for big innings. The Rangers' lineup, however, is definitely more well-rounded, led by ALCS MVP Nelson Cruz, who hit a record-breaking six home-runs in their domination of the Tigers. But behind him, Josh Hamilton, Michael Young, Adrian Beltre, and Ian Kinsler are all Silver Slugger contenders at their positions, and catcher Mike Napoli has provided big hits over the second half of the season as well. Although St. Louis can counter with the best hitter in the game in Albert Pujols, as well as red-hot NLCS MVP David Freese, and Lance Berkman and Matt Holliday in the outfield, offensively, Texas just has more depth.
As far as pitching, both rotations are inconsistent, but overall, the Rangers' core of starting pitching has been good enough to eat up innings. Starters C.J. Wilson, Colby Lewis, Derrick Holland, and Matt Harrison, as well as closer Neftali Feliz are all pretty solid and should be up to the challenge in the Rangers' second consecutive World Series. Of course, the Cardinals have the best pitcher in the series in ace Chris Carpenter, but behind him, Jaime Garcia, Edwin Jackson, and Kyle Lohse have been erratic and inconsistent. The Cardinals got by Milwaukee largely because its bullpen came up huge, with manager Tony LaRussa constantly mixing and matching pitchers coming out of the 'pen to perfection. Can this formula for success, with Salas, Rzepcynski, Lynn, and Motte coming in for ineffective starters and shutting the door, give St. Louis its 11th championship banner?

The biggest key in the series is seeing which pitching staff can survive and prevent big innings by the opposition's offense. Both Milwaukee and Detroit were unable to stop explosive four or five run innings, which in the baseball postseason, will usually lead to elimination. In the end, I think the Rangers are the better team, with the more consistent starting pitching, and well-rounded lineup.

Rangers in 7.

Sunday, October 16, 2011

NFL Picks: Week Six

10/16
Bills
vs
Giants
-1:00 PM (ET)


10/16
Panthers
vs
Falcons
-1:00 PM (ET)


10/16
Colts
vs
Bengals
-1:00 PM (ET)


10/16
Jaguars
vs
Steelers
-1:00 PM (ET)


10/16
Eagles
vs
Redskins
-1:00 PM (ET)


10/16
49ers
vs
Lions
-1:00 PM (ET)


10/16
Rams
vs
Packers
-1:00 PM (ET)


10/16
Browns
vs
Raiders
-4:05 PM (ET)


10/16
Texans
vs
Ravens
-4:05 PM (ET)


10/16
Cowboys
vs
Patriots
-4:15 PM (ET)


10/16
Saints
vs
Buccaneers
-4:15 PM (ET)


10/16
Vikings
vs
Bears
-8:20 PM (ET)


10/17
Dolphins
vs
Jets
-8:30 PM (ET)

Last week: 6-7
Season record: 52-25

Sunday, October 9, 2011

NFL Picks: Week Five

10/09
Cardinals
vs
Vikings
-1:00 PM (ET)


10/09
Bengals
vs
Jaguars
-1:00 PM (ET)


10/09
Chiefs
vs
Colts
-1:00 PM (ET)


10/09
Saints
vs
Panthers
-1:00 PM (ET)


10/09
Raiders
vs
Texans
-1:00 PM (ET)


10/09
Eagles
vs
Bills
-1:00 PM (ET)


10/09
Seahawks
vs
Giants
-1:00 PM (ET)


10/09
Titans
vs
Steelers
-1:00 PM (ET)


10/09
Buccaneers
vs
49ers
-4:05 PM (ET)


10/09
Jets
vs
Patriots
-4:15 PM (ET)


10/09
Chargers
vs
Broncos
-4:15 PM (ET)


10/09
Packers
vs
Falcons
-8:20 PM (ET)


10/10
Bears
vs
Lions
-8:30 PM (ET)
Last week: 12-4
Season record: 46-18

Saturday, October 8, 2011

2011 LCS Picks

ALCS
This should be another great postseason series, as I see both these teams almost evenly matched. Both teams depend a lot on the home-run for instant offense, and have the hitter-friendly ballpark to put up a lot of runs quickly. For example, the Tigers' Delmon Young and Rangers' Adrian Beltre each belted three home-runs in their respective Division Series wins, and they are not even the team's best hitter (Cabrera and Hamilton). In the end, however, it always comes down to pitching, and both team's have solid, above-average rotations and bullpens. The Tigers' front-line trio of Justin Verlander, Doug Fister, and Max Scherzer looked impressive in taking out the Bronx Bombers, and I like their consistency over that of the Rangers' starters of C.J. Wilson, Derek Holland, and Colby Lewis. And although Jose Valverde has his adventures in the 9th, he has not blown a save the whole season.
It's pretty much a toss-up in the end, but I just like the feeling around this Tigers' team. Of course, it doesn't hurt to have the Cy Young winner either.
in 7

 


NLCS
It's an NL Central showdown for the right to go to the World Series, after the Cards shocked the Phillies in five. Milwaukee finally got out of the first round thanks to clutch hitting and good pitching in its wins. Zach Grienke and Yovani Gallardo were really strong for the Brewers, but fellow starters Shawn Marcum and Randy Wolf need to bounce-back after getting lit up in the Arizona desert. And against an underrated St. Louis lineup that still has playoff veterans Albert Pujols and Lance Berkman, suspect pitching will doom Milwaukee. Luckily, the Brewers have bats of their own, in the form of Braun, Fielder, and Nyjer "Tony Clutch" Morgan. The Cards' pitching and Chris Carpenter was absolutely awesome in shutting down the Phillies, but can Jaime Garcia, Kyle Lohse, and Edwin Jackson also contain Milwaukee's more consistent lineup? In the end, the Brewers just have more talent across the board (starting pitching, bullpen, lineup) and should win.

in 7

Sunday, October 2, 2011

NFL Picks: Week Four

10/02
Bills
vs
Bengals
-1:00 PM (ET)


10/02
Panthers
vs
Bears
-1:00 PM (ET)


10/02
Lions
vs
Cowboys
-1:00 PM (ET)


10/02
Vikings
vs
Chiefs
-1:00 PM (ET)


10/02
Saints
vs
Jaguars
-1:00 PM (ET)


10/02
Steelers
vs
Texans
-1:00 PM (ET)


10/02
49ers
vs
Eagles
-1:00 PM (ET)


10/02
Titans
vs
Browns
-1:00 PM (ET)


10/02
Redskins
vs
Rams
-1:00 PM (ET)


10/02
Falcons
vs
Seahawks
-4:05 PM (ET)


10/02
Giants
vs
Cardinals
-4:05 PM (ET)


10/02
Broncos
vs
Packers
-4:15 PM (ET)


10/02
Dolphins
vs
Chargers
-4:15 PM (ET)


10/02
Patriots
vs
Raiders
-4:15 PM (ET)


10/02
Jets
vs
Ravens
-8:20 PM (ET)

10/03
Colts
vs
Buccaneers
-8:30 PM (ET)
Week 3 record: 10-6
Season record: 34-14